I know, the same old narrative of how the Smoking Musket is those guys yelling from their back porch about something, but no ESPN really isn’t predicting a 2-10 season. I know on social media 2-10 is a whole lot more buzzworthy than 4-8 or 5-7 but that is actually what ESPN’s prediction metric, FPI, is saying.
“Project W-L: 4.6 – 7.4”. So either 4-8 and 5-7. But, Jake, they only give us more than a 50% chance to win two games. We are underdogs in every other game. Yes, we are. But that isn’t how FPI works. FPI is saying that we have a X% chance to win that game so against James Madison, we should win 3 out of every 4 times that game is played. Now, if you add up the percentages of all 12 games, they come out to 461. Yes, I know that isn’t how percentages work, but its how FPI works. FPI predicts we will win between 4 and 5 games.
So, Mountaineer fans, do you think Neal Brown can win six games and keep us bowl eligible?
Source: Smoking Musket